prediction
Prediction Pulse: Lisa Cook faces Trump challenge, Trump Jr. plays both markets, and Taylor Swift turns Polymarket into a payday
This week in prediction markets, Donald Trump Jr. somehow managed to secure himself a seat on both sides of the table. The man has officially joined the advisory ranks at Polymarket while also moonlighting at Kalshi. One imagines the awkward small talk when both companies end up at the same cocktail party. Polymarket made the…
Simpler models can outperform deep learning at climate prediction
Environmental scientists are increasingly using enormous artificial intelligence models to make predictions about changes in weather and climate, but a new study by MIT researchers shows that bigger models are not always better. The team demonstrates that, in certain climate scenarios, much simpler, physics-based models can generate more accurate predictions than state-of-the-art deep-learning models. Their…
Prediction Pulse: Kalshi and Polymarket face competition from Prophet Arena, plus Jerome Powell’s speech
Prediction markets had themselves another lively week. Kalshi rolled out shiny new NFL contracts even as lawyers kept filing lawsuits faster than you can say “parlay.” This time it was a second tribal challenge, aimed at keeping Kalshi off tribal lands. But the real twist came from the NCAA, which finally peeked its head above…
Prediction Pulse: Trump-Putin meeting dominates as Kalshi and Polymarket face scrutiny over market controversies
A week may be a short time in politics, but in prediction markets it can feel like an eternity. Just days after our inaugural Prediction Pulse, the world of Kalshi and Polymarket has managed to stir up more controversy, sharpening the debate over how far these platforms should go in turning current events into commodities….
Risk Prediction Models: How They Work and Their Benefits | TechTarget
One of my favorite consulting clients is an outdoor clothing retailer. It’s a highly seasonal business — summer and winter gear are different, obviously. But fashions, styles and popular color combinations change every year, too. The company’s buyers must make decisions about inventory well in advance to order for upcoming seasons. They obsess about…
How we’re supporting better tropical cyclone prediction with AI
Research Published 12 June 2025 Authors Weather Lab team We’re launching Weather Lab, featuring our experimental cyclone predictions, and we’re partnering with the U.S. National Hurricane Center to support their forecasts and warnings this cyclone season. Tropical cyclones are extremely dangerous, endangering lives and devastating communities in their wake. And in the past 50 years,…